Asset Pilot

The two questions that cost crypto investors the most are "am I too late to buy this?" and "when should I sell what I already own?" Asset Pilot answers both using market data and maths — no predictions, no signals, and nothing to sign up for.

Try it on any coin Enter its name or ticker. The result takes ten seconds or so.

What it does

One instrument, three moments in the life of a position.

Before buying

Am I late? The location of the price within the coin's historical range — or, for a token on a decentralised exchange, the balance between buyers and sellers right now.

While holding

The exit strategy. The point at which selling part of the position covers the initial investment, targets above the current price, and the level below which it no longer makes sense to defend the position. For an underwater position, what is needed to break even.

Overall

The actual result. Saved positions form one overview, so the answer is not a guess.

Why this matters more than choosing the right coin

The majority of crypto tools focus on helping you enter the market. Almost none help you exit, which is precisely where the mistake lies. A position that grew to four times the entry price and then crashed back to nothing will cost you far more than getting in badly — and it will cost quietly, because holding always feels safe by definition.

The other side of the coin is the story people tell themselves: that crypto always recovers. That is true of Bitcoin. It is not true of most other coins. Of the hundred largest by market cap, nearly a third set their all-time high more than three years ago and have not returned to it since — not even during the bull market. Cardano, Dogecoin, Polkadot, Litecoin and Avalanche are among them. Applying Bitcoin's recovery record to them is how people keep waiting for a recovery there is no evidence for.

Methodology

Where the numbers come from

Tokens on decentralised exchanges — DexScreener, which provides the price, pool depth, trading volume, the age of the pool and the ratio of buys to sells over five-minute, one-hour, six-hour and twenty-four-hour windows.
Larger coins — CoinGecko, which provides price, market cap, the all-time high and the date it was set.
The long history of Bitcoin — Kraken's public price record, which goes back to 2013.

All three are publicly available sources. Prices are cached for a minute, so a reading is fresh without overloading anyone's servers.

How the reading is calculated

There are two engines, because the honest signal depends on where a coin trades.

For a token on a decentralised exchange the pool itself tells you who is doing what. Comparing the ratio of buys to sells over the last hour with the ratio over the last six hours gives the direction of the current trend — whether demand is still rising or has already rolled over. Pool depth relative to the token's total value shows whether exiting the position is possible at all, and the age of the pool tells you whether there is any track record to speak of.

For a larger coin none of that exists, because it trades on centralised exchanges where order flow is not publicly available. So the reading relies on what is there: the distance between today's price and the all-time high, whether that high was set recently enough to count as this cycle, and how the last month has gone.

The result is shown as a number out of ten rather than a percentage, on purpose. A percentage reads as a probability, but this is a description of the current state, not a prediction.

Why there is no stop-loss for Bitcoin

Because its own history says that any percentage stop would have been wrong every time. Bitcoin has fallen at least twenty percent from a high eight times since 2013. The median fall was around fifty percent, and five of those cases went deeper than thirty-five percent — four of which went on to break the previous high. Any stop tight enough to sound reasonable would have removed the holder before each recovery. What actually matters here is the length of the wait, so that is what the tool talks about.

Coins without a history of this kind are treated differently, and this is clearly stated.

What Asset Pilot does not do

It does not make predictions about the price, and does not send signals or recommendations.
It never asks you to connect a wallet, and never asks for a password, a seed phrase or an email.
It does not store anything about you on our servers. Your saved positions stay in your own browser.
It does not display any probability it cannot support with data. Where a figure would just be a guess, it is left out.

When to be sceptical

Bitcoin's recovery record is real, but it is also a sample of only four cycles. "Recovered every time so far" is not quite the same as "will recover", especially considering that one recovery took three years. The pool depth of a small token can reach zero faster than a data feed can update. And a coin can be cheap and still never recover — cheap and undervalued are not the same thing.

Coins covered by the tool

Any coin with a live market can be checked — type a name, a ticker, or paste a contract address for something brand new. Nothing needs to be on a list first.

Major coins

BTC ETH SOL BNB XRP ADA DOGE TRX TON AVAX DOT LINK LTC BCH XMR MATIC ATOM NEAR APT SUI FIL ETC ALGO UNI AAVE HBAR ICP ARB OP XLM VET KAS SHIB PEPE

Memecoins and newer tokens

Priced from decentralised exchange pools, where buying and selling can be read directly.

AI16Z ALPACA AUTISM AXS BOBO BONK CATANA CHILLGUY CHONKY COOKIE DINO DOGE20 ETF500 FAFO FARTCOIN KENDU LABUBU LDO MEMESAI MOODENG OIIAOIIA ONE PACK PLUME PX SIGMA VAPOR WEPE WOJAK

Asset Pilot performs arithmetic on the numbers you enter and on public market data. It is not investment advice of any kind. Cryptocurrency prices are volatile and you may incur losses.